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        美国石油产量增长停滞不前 供应增长似乎越来越有可能低于预测

        2019年09月10日 16:45:56字号:T|T

            据报道,美国页岩行业油价下跌和持续的财务压力正给钻井商带来阻力,供应增长似乎越来越有可能低于预测。

            根据EIA近日公布的最新数据,美国今年6月份石油日产量下降至1208.2万桶。较5月份下降3.3万桶—虽然降幅不大,但仍是下降。

            在过去几个月中,海上油田的维护造成了下很大一部分下降。虽然整个美国的总体数据似乎令人失望,但海上产量的临时下降掩盖了二叠纪的持续增长。但这一次,责任不能简单地归咎于海上维护。

            值得注意的是,俄克拉荷马州的日产量下降了相当可观的5.8万桶,这是俄克拉荷马州出现问题的迹象,事实证明这有点令人失望。

            传言称,由于成本高于预期,产量低于预期,公司纷纷放弃投资美国页岩。最新的EIA数据显示,俄克拉荷马州投资减少可能会造成损失。

            阿拉斯加今年6月份日产量下降1.9万桶,鉴于BP最近决定出售其在该州的资产并退出,这一点值得注意。在二叠纪等地,阿拉斯加的盈亏平衡成本高于美国页岩。根据标准普尔全球普氏能源资讯(S&P Global Platts)的数据,在阿拉斯加境内,布伦特原油价格每桶55美元(离岸价格为65美元),而美国页岩油的大致盈亏平衡价为每桶45美元。阿拉斯加的产量一直在长期下降,因此最新的数据与这一下降趋势是一致的(尽管产出可能会继续逐月波动)。

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