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        2019年上半年中国家纺行业发展情况及行业发展趋势分析[图]

        2019年09月19日 13:30:53字号:T|T

            一、家纺行业发展情况分析

            家用纺织品又叫装饰用纺织品,与服装用纺织品、产业用纺织品共同构成纺织业的三分天下。根据产品终端用途的不同,又可分为“床、巾、绒、厨、帕、帘、艺、毯、线、袋”等十大类产品。

            纺织用品可以分为服装用、家用以及产业用等。家纺用品消费可以分为两类:一类是作为日用品型消费带来的刚性需求,家纺用品作为家庭生活必需品的一部分,日常更替是一种刚性需求。另一种消费为炫耀型消费,把家纺用品作为家庭“软装修”,新居乔迁、送礼和婚庆等是刺激炫耀性消费的主要因素,同时随着经济水平的提高,为追求个性化和名牌奠定了物质基础,炫耀性消费也会增长。

            作为纺织品中重要的一个类别,家用纺织产品在居室装饰配套中被称为“软装饰”,它在营造环境中有着决定性的作用。它就从传统的满足铺铺盖盖、遮遮掩掩、洗洗涮涮的日常生活需求一路走过来,如今的家纺行业已经具备了时尚、个性、保健等多功能的消费风格,家用纺织品这个纺织行业在家居装饰和空间装饰正逐渐成为市场新宠。

            从家纺的产业链来看,其上游为家纺产品的原材料,主要有植物纤维、化学纤维、染料等;中游为家纺制造业,家纺产品的种类主要包括床上用品、纺织服饰、窗帘布艺、家居装饰等;下游为家纺产品的销售渠道,比如品牌专卖店、电商平台、商场超市等。

            2018年消费升级拉动了产品需求的增长,家纺企业在享受红利的同时也意识到,伴随着消费升级而来的是消费者对产品需求变得越来越多样化,企业很难找准能够契合消费者需求的“点”。尤其是当“80后”、“90后”甚至“00后”逐渐成长为市场消费主力时,家纺企业更深刻地感觉到对这群“Z世代消费者(指受到互联网、即时通讯、短讯、MP3、智能手机和平板电脑等科技产物影响很大的一代人)”的消费行为和消费理念有点读不懂、猜不透、摸不准,甚至觉得他们“很难搞”。这种“对消费市场掌控能力的下降”,会成为家纺企业2019年将要面对和亟须解决的困难。

            从外部市场环境来看,目前,中美贸易摩擦暂时熄火并延缓了90天,但这并不能保证期限到了以后结果如何。去年,在中美贸易战局势紧张期间,家纺行业的出口情况受到了一定影响,不少企业出口销量下滑,甚至有些家纺外贸企业已经停止接单。去年年底爆发的“华为事件”,更是让人们明显地感觉到西方国家外部环境堪忧。

            家纺行业2019上半年实现营收57.2亿元,同比增长3.8%,实现净利润4.8亿元,同 比下降12.6%。2019年上半年家纺行业业绩走弱,除了受到宏观经济下行压力影响 外,还受到商品房销售2018年放缓影响,因为家纺几大需求中,占比三分之一不到 的乔迁和婚庆需求和商品房销售相关。

        2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业收入情况(亿元)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2019-2025年中国家纺行业市场运行态势及投资战略咨询报告

        2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业净利润(扣非后归母,亿元)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2019年上半年家纺行业的毛利率为43.1%,较2018年上半年下降1.4个百分点,主要 由于部分公司较低毛利率电商业务占比提高所致。2019年上半年销售费用率和管理 费用率分别为23.7%和5.5%,较2018年上升0.9个百分点和0.2个百分点。

        2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业毛利率情况

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业销售、管理费用率

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            家纺行业近年来存货周转率基本平稳, 2018年和2019年上半年年化存货周转率分 别为2.1、2.0,应收账款周转率大幅改善,2018年和2019年上半年年化应收账款周 转率分别为9.1和11.4。

        2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业存货周转率(次)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

        2016-2019年上半年中国家纺行业应收账款周转率(次)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            二、中国家纺行业发展趋势

            家纺行业作为纺织三大终端产业之一,是传统民生产业,在拉动内需增长、促进就业、建设生态文明等方面发挥着重要作用。2018年我国家纺行业市场规模达到2325亿元左右。预测在2019年我国家纺行业市场规模将超2500亿。

            我国家纺行业是目前整个纺织品行业中发展前景最好、成长速度最快的子行业。床上用品作为家纺行业中的子行业,其工业总产值占到1/3,发展前景同样广阔。在发达国家,家用纺织品消费与服装、产业用纺织品形成纺织行业中“三分天下”局面,而在我国,家用纺织品、服装和产业用纺织品的比例则为12:80:8,差距较大,也预示了较大的发展空间。

            因此根据中国社会和人口结构,随着城镇化进程的加快,国内适婚人口的持续增长,将从乔迁和婚庆两大因素继续带动家纺行业持续增长。同时随着国家收入倍增计划的逐步实现,使得国内居民人均可支配收入的增长,消费升级需求也会随之陆续出现,这将有力的支持家纺的置换需求。

            1、纺织行业分工两极分化

            现在这个时代是产品极其丰富的时代,而行业最终的发展,将会是两极分化,一部分厂家变身为纯粹的产品供应商,而一部分厂家则变身为纯粹的品牌运营商。

            2、布艺行业终端品牌化

            随着时代不断进步,生活水平不断提升,物质生活进入品牌时代同一个产品,经过品牌的包装、专业的服务,形成产品附加值,提升产品在消费者心目中的价值,进而影响消费者消费心理。

            3、多风格专卖店成为趋势

            统一的品牌VI识别系统、整体的氛围打造、专业的服务,让消费者尽享品牌化的体验。每个人对自己的家都有不同的梦想,从而家装设计风格多元化成为必然。

            4、标准化服务成核心竞争力

            让消费者体验“一站式”消费,进而形成专卖店特有的附加值。于是,如何加强品牌服务,提升专卖店核心竞争力将成为每个商家研究的新课题。

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