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        房地产价格涨幅放缓趋势出现, 房地产金融环境不断收紧

        2019年09月18日 17:29:13字号:T|T

            国家统计局发布8月70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况。数据显示,8月房地产市场总体延续平稳态势。其中,一二线城市新建商品住宅和二手住宅销售价格环比、同比涨幅均与上月相同或回落,三线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比涨幅与上月相同,二手住宅涨幅微升,同比涨幅回落。

            房地产价格涨幅放缓趋势出现
            国家统计局城市司首席统计师孔鹏表示,7月30日,中央再次强调坚持房子是用来住的、不是用来炒的定位,要求落实房地产长效管理机制,提出不将房地产作为短期刺激经济的手段。在此背景下,8月份,房地产市场总体延续平稳态势。

            统计局数据显示,4个一线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比上涨0.3%,涨幅与上月相同,其中北京上涨0.5%,上海上涨0.3%,广州和深圳均上涨0.2%。二手住宅方面,二手住宅销售价格从上月的环比上涨0.3%,转为8月环比持平。其中北京下降0.4%,较7月下降0.1个百分点,上海和广州从上月的上涨0.4%转为持平,下降0.4个百分点;深圳上涨0.2%,较上月下调0.5个百分点。同比方面,一线城市二手住宅价格由7月的上涨0.2%转为同比下降0.2%。值得一提的是,这是一线城市二手住宅价格同比数据自去年6月以来的首次转降。

            二线城市方面,31个二线城市新建商品住宅和二手住宅销售价格环比分别上涨0.5%和0.2%,涨幅比上月均回落0.2个百分点;同比分别上涨9.9%和5.5%,涨幅比上月分别回落0.8和1.2个百分点。35个三线城市新建商品住宅销售价格环比上涨0.7%,涨幅与上月相同;同比上涨9.0%,涨幅比上月回落1.2个百分点。二手住宅销售价格环比上涨0.8%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点;同比上涨5.8%,涨幅比上月回落1.3个百分点。

            中原地产首席分析师张大伟分析认为,8月房价上涨城市明显减少,二手房价格下调城市持续增加。综合来看,新建商品住房价格环比上涨城市数量为55个,二手房环比上涨城市43个,均是2018年以来的低点。

            根据统计局数据,8月新建住宅环比涨幅较7月相比明显放缓的城市达32个,二手住宅方面,41个城市涨幅明显放缓。具体来看,新建住房价格环比下降城市多达10个,较7月增加7个。其中,韶关由7月的环比上涨0.8%,转为环比下降0.9%;平顶山更是从7月的环比上涨1.6%,转为环比下降0.5%。二手住房价格,7月环比下降幅度最大的为遵义,环比下降0.6%;到了8月,有7个城市下降幅度超过0.6%,福州、济南、成都、安庆环比下降幅度达0.9%,乌鲁木齐、宜昌更是环比下降了1个百分点。

            房地产金融环境不断收紧
            一向是房地产市场高峰月的“金九”,今年也未能如期而至。9月上半月,易居最新监测的13个城市二手住房成交量29305套,较8月上半月下降16.6%,较2018年同时期下降10.8%。

            房地产业作为一个资金密集型行业,金融环境的变化直接影响房地产市场。8月住户部门贷款余额同比增速继续回落,一年期国债收益率与上月持平,首套房贷平均利率连续3个月小幅上升,房地产行业金融环境有小幅收紧。

            在国庆长假结束之后,房地产市场将迎来一项新政——自10月8日起,新发放商业性个人住房贷款利率,以最近一个月相应期限的贷款市场报价利率为定价基准加点形成。

            广州地区中国银行将在9月23日左右实行利率新政,首套房贷利率预计为5.5%。短期的波动不可避免,但应该都在用户的心理承受范围之内。预计后市购房者观望情绪将加重,四季度楼市恐继续下行,房价指数涨幅也将继续收窄。 

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