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        2019年上半年中国女装行业发展情况及2019行业发展趋势预测[图]

        2019年09月18日 14:23:50字号:T|T

            一、女装行业发展情况分析

            20世纪90年代初期,我国服装开始走上品牌化道路。虽然起步较晚,但发展速度非常迅速。由于女装品牌与款式的多元化以及女性社会地位的提升推动了时尚女装的发展,我国女装市场规模不断增加。未来,我国女装产品将更具个性化,随着女性收入的提升,高端女装的发展具有较广阔的前景。

            女装品牌相继出现 促进市场规模不断扩大

            国际上品牌女装市场已有超过百年历史,而中国女装品牌经营之路则是从上世纪八十年代末、九十年代初才开始。20世纪90年代初期,我国服装开始走上品牌化道路。当时,随着改革开放的进行,国门逐渐打开,西方各种各样的服装品牌也不断进驻中国,由于当时国内服装企业对品牌概念还不够重视,国内的高档服装市场几乎被国外的品牌所占领。国内的服装企业看到这种状况,于是也纷纷效仿,迅速加入了品牌服装的行列,形成了国内女装企业快速发展的良好局面。

            中国品牌女装市场正如中国经济一样,虽然起步较晚,但发展速度非常迅速。在多年里,经历了休闲服-高端女装-少女少淑-快时尚-网络服装品牌的相继出现和发展。高端女装品牌出现于 1990 年以后,虽然历经近30年的发展,发展速度也较快,但由于高端女装的发展特点,目前仍然是一个大市场、小品牌的格局,品牌效应远没有男装那么显著。

            随着女装品牌的增多,产品选择增加,女装的市场规模也在不断扩大。从服装行业的零售市场规模来看,2006-2011年,我国服装零售额保持着较快的增速,市场销售情况良好。2012年后,我国服装行业饱受高库存的困扰,服装类产品零售额增速开始放缓。虽然服装零售市场经历着一个增速放缓的过程,但总体上,零售市场总额增长,规模以上零售企业发展仍然看好。2017年,我国服装类零售额为10356.40亿元,同比增长1.36%;2018年,我国服装类零售额为17010.6亿元,同比增长4.07%,打破增速下跌的趋势,较上年增加2.71个百分点。

            女装品牌与款式的多元化推动了时装的发展。由于女性教育程度普遍提升、女性就业比例的提高和社会地位不断提升,其经济上的独立性、在家庭中的话语权、决定权不断提升,消费需求也随之不断提高,也成为女装行业复苏的新机遇。在女性消费人口中,主要消费群体集中在20-49岁,其中25-34岁的女性兼具旺盛的消费能力和消费需求,国内该年龄段女性比例有较大的增加。

            另外,女性在家庭中支配地位增强,家庭女性主导消费比例从2009年的17.56%到2017年的19.16%,这也使得女装规模进一步扩大。虽然女装行业市场规模与整体服装行业态势相同,增速不断下降,但整体规模同样在不断上升。

            女装行业2019上半年实现营收41.1亿元,同比增长9.5%,实现净利润6.7亿元,同 比下降7.9%。

            虽然女装行业业绩增速仍低于2018年,但营收波动幅度不大,另外2019年上半年逐 季回升,主要由于服装行业两极分化,女装大部分公司定位高端,VIP销售占比高, 客群购买力受经济影响较小(服装消费开支占比很低,而且有社交和商务需求)。 净利润波动较大,主要由于直营占比高,费用相对刚性,营收增速稍有放缓,费用 率大幅上升影响。

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业收入情况(亿元)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2019-2025年中国女装行业市场竞争现状及投资方向研究报告

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业净利润(扣非后归母,亿元)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2018上半年和2019上半年,女装毛利率分别为67.1%和64.6%,女装毛利率下降主 要由于线下产品价格带有所拉宽,性价比提高,另外电商销售占比提高影响。2019 年上半年销售费用率和管理费用率分别为35.1%和8.4%,较2018年保持平稳,但较 2018年上半年上升。2019年上半年年化存货周转率和应收账款周转率为分别为1.4 次和10.3次,应收账款周转率大幅提升,反映虽然销售有一定放缓,但终端存货控 制良好。

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业毛利率情况

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业费用率

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业存货周转率(次)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2016-2019年上半年中国女装行业应收账款周转率(次)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            2019年上半年渠道方面,大部分公司较年初有净关店,仅朗姿股份和锦泓集团较年 初又净开店。报表同店方面,大部分公司有所下降,仅歌力思、日播时尚和地素时 尚有所增长。显示出经济下行压力下渠道有所调整,且终端销售低迷。

            2015-2019年上半年中国女装行业渠道统计(个) 行

        数据来源:公开资料整理

        2015-2019年上半年中国女装行业报表同店数据持续提升(万元)

        数据来源:公开资料整理

            二、2019女装行业发展趋势预测

            1.休闲女装受青睐

            随着国际服装休闲潮流的经久不衰,休闲类女装将继续热销,休闲风格的设计理念将逐渐渗透到服装市场的各个领域,使传统的女装体现出更浓厚的现代社会休闲色彩。现代社会办公室女性在紧张工作之余渴望回归大自然轻松自由的心境,也为休闲女装的旺销奠定了基础。

            2.个性定制需求扩大

            消费能力、消费心理与社会的进步三个因素,共同催生了个性化定制这个基于人自身表达诉求的概念。服装已经成为表达自我个性及自我追求的外在显示,选择自己喜欢的个性化服装是一种主流时尚。色彩搭配和款式设计已成为影响女装销售的关键因素。另外,个性化服务将逐渐深入,除量体裁衣、量身定做以外,还将出现专门设计等深层次的个性化服务,满足不同层次的女性消费者需要。

            个性化需求与定制,将会随着人们对自身认识的加深越来越趋势化。表达诉求,肯定核心价值,满足孤独属性,必定是下一个服装业的红利蓝海。

            3.品牌效应凸显

            随着新兴产业的发展、受教育程度的提高、多元文化的发展,年轻一带女性在经济上的实力在不断的增加,人们的消费观念也在不断变化,品牌意识更加强烈。配合多种不同需求的消费群体,女装品牌的细分也会不断的增加。品牌效应将会更加明显。

            4.线上线下结合的营销方式

            随着互联网行业的发展,实体服装行业面临巨大的打击。线上下单线下提货,或是线下体验线上购买等新模式已经成为服装业的大趋势。通过实现线上运营,或者通过线上引流到线下,又或者线下引流到线上,为用户提供贴心的购物服务,线上线下结合的营销方式为未来发展所趋。 

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